XRP is currently priced at $1.37, and our forecast indicates that bulls may be disappointed. The asset has lost over 2% this week, falling from a three‑month peak near $1.69 into a region where derivatives traders are quietly positioning for a decline. Notably, the recent shift in funding rates has made the market favor short positions.
According to CryptoQuant’s recent market overview, XRP’s futures book shows signs of overheating and heightened sell‑side pressure, driven by retail activity. The long‑to‑short ratio slipped to 0.83 on Tuesday — its lowest level in a month — meaning short contracts now outnumber long ones.
The funding rate turned negative on Wednesday, settling at -0.0012% today, which signals that long‑term holders are compensating short‑term traders — a classic bearish indicator. For a deeper look at the contrasting signals from whales and retail investors, refer to this recent analysis of conflicting XRP cues.
When viewed broadly, the situation reflects wider altcoin fatigue: momentum is waning after a rapid rally, open interest is shrinking, and traders are de‑risking ahead of upcoming macro events. Technically, XRP’s attempted rebound faces genuine resistance beyond mere chart lines.
XRP’s retreat to $1.37 keeps it just above a key support zone. It remains above its 50‑day, 100‑day, and 200‑day exponential moving averages, which are clustered between $1.24 and $1.35, maintaining a technically sound structure as long as this level holds.
The RSI, hovering in the mid‑50s, indicates that momentum has softened without disappearing, while the MACD line staying below zero points to diminishing upside momentum.
Three possible outcomes to monitor:
– Bullish scenario: A breakout above $1.40‑$1.43 resistance could pave the way to $1.54, then to the $1.68‑$1.72 zone that would allow a push toward $2.00+.
– Base scenario: XRP may consolidate between $1.35 and $1.40 while funding stays negative and open interest continues to unwind.
– Bearish scenario: A drop below $1.35 could expose $1.31‑$1.32, with $1.27 serving as a deeper support level.
Regulatory developments remain a wildcard, especially the potential impact of the CLARITY Act, which could spark a technical breakout. Whether $1.35 holds this week will likely dictate which of the three scenarios unfolds.
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Bitcoin Hyper Seeks Early Mover Advantage as XRP Tests Key Levels
With negative funding rates, a sub‑1 long‑short ratio, and a cooling RSI, this environment does not reward patient traders. Holding XRP through the current volatility incurs an opportunity cost, and unless spot demand steps in to absorb sell pressure, the $1.35 floor may be tested more aggressively before it strengthens.
Capital is increasingly shifting toward early‑stage projects that offer asymmetric upside, and one such project gaining attention is Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER).
Bitcoin Hyper is developing the first Bitcoin Layer 2 solution with native SVM integration. Its smart‑contract execution aims to outpace Solana while leveraging Bitcoin’s security foundation. The token is priced at $0.013686, has raised $33.1 million to date, and offers live staking rewards from launch.
Key features include a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers and low‑latency, low-cost transaction processing, addressing Bitcoin’s longstanding programmability limitations.
Conduct thorough research on Bitcoin Hyper before making any investment decisions.
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